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Alternative perspectives on Nigeria’s political evolution


By Muhammadu BuHari

Nigeria, like many countries, institutions and individuals, very well understands the meaning of true friendship. In our hour of need, when confronted by one of the most debilitating crises of our political existence, we are learning to differentiate between true friends and fair-weather friends, and appreciate those who are working for the vital abiding and multifaceted national interests of our two great countries, the United States and Nigeria.
Mr. Chairman, Distinguished Ladies and Gentlemen, you are perhaps not all aware of the current state of affairs in Nigeria, characterized as they are by a failure of political leadership and failed governance. Nigeria, the largest and potentially the wealthiest country in sub Saharan Africa, is today a basket case, confronted by problems that threaten not only its nascent democracy, but its very existence. The country’s sheer size and complexity, its rich human and vast material endowments, provide both an opportunity and a challenge, depending on the attitude of Nigerians and their friends and partners, especially the U.S.
It is worth observing that ignoring Nigeria and Nigerians by the U.S. or the world will have far-reaching negative consequences for the region and beyond. An unstable Nigeria driven by internal wars, insurrections, or other manifestations of a failed state has the potential to destabilize the whole continent of Africa. The common symptomatic phenomena of internal disarray by way Of civil wars and refugees and internally displaced persons have been dealt with by the world with varying successes in the past. The two world wars in the last century and developments in their wake, the collapse of the Soviet Empire in Eastern Europe, Central Asia, the Middle East and the Balkans, have produced millions of refugees — which were and still are unacceptable. But the breakup of Nigeria with a population of 130 million will produce a refugee crisis of unimaginable proportions. African countries will be overwhelmed and both Europe and Asia will be under severe strain.
The highest number of refugees the world has had to deal with has never exceeded 25 million, with another 30 million or so displaced persons. This is about one third of the refugee potential of a war torn Nigeria. The international community, especially the U.S. will see it in their interest to forestall this major tragedy for Africa and for the world.
Since independence in 1960, Nigeria has gone through many crises including a bloody civil war that lasted from 1967 to 1970, and cost nearly a million lives, with attendant destruction, hunger, disease and massive population movements. The Nigerian military has, like its Turkish and Pakistani counterparts, deemed it prudent to intervene in the politics of Nigeria for reasons I will not want to delve into, in this submission. As a rule most of such interventions, even when adjudged necessary and or appropriate, have done permanent damage to the military’s espirit de corps, professionalism and preparedness, and have more often than not, done permanent damage to political institution building and emergent consensus creation and articulation —so necessary to security, progress and prosperity, in a nation with such diverse and multifarious socio-economic and political constituencies.
The Nigerian military have been compelled to surrender power and return to the barracks by the imperatives of political reality and the heavy, definitely unbearable toll on the institution.
Nigeria is once again at a crossroad, at a defining moment in its history and the history of Africa. Once again the country is thrown into chaos by actions of an earlier elected but failed government that refuses to accept the verdict of the very electorates who put it into power in the first place. The present government was ushered into power in 1999 with considerable help from a departing military government that paved the way by openly mobilizing resources, international goodwill and tinkering of both the constitution and the laws to enable the departing military government remote control the ensuing succession in favor of a retired colleague. Four years after, it was time for the incumbent government to renew its populate mandate. That was when hell broke loose.
Nigerians, full of hope in their new democracy, had wanted only to see some improvement of their lives - even one or two. Instead, they saw none of the urgent problems tackled with more than words. The government, contrary to its election promises, presided over the accelerated decline of our social services, especially health and education. It aggravated the simmering crises in electricity generation and distribution, land and water transport, roads, telecommunication and water supply.
To date no one city in Nigeria can boast of a reliable water supply system. Education from primary to tertiary institutions is in disarray with the government permanently at war with teachers. From 2002 to mid-2003, nearly 80% of Nigerian university students were not receiving instruction because the colleges were closed down. Collegiate courses that normally last four years, sometimes take 6 to 7 years to complete. The largely public funded health system has collapsed and the private paying facilities grossly inadequate, too rudimentary, and largely urban based, to have any meaningful impact in the rural areas where the vast majority of Nigerians live.
The greatest damage visited on Nigeria by the government in Abuja is in the area of public security, and ethnic and religious harmony. The tragic track record of the current Nigerian government, as captured in this year’s U.S. State Department Country Report on Human Rights practices of February 25, 2004, demonstrates how in Nigeria, as well as in many other countries, democratically elected governments, often ones that claim to have been re-elected or re-affirmed through, referenda, are routinely ignoring constitutional norms on their power and depriving their citizens of basic rights and freedoms. It would be a tragic mistake to ignore serious economic and political malfeasance in Nigeria on the grounds of, so the argument goes, teething problems of fledgling democracy, the legacy of military intervention, or the new threat of terrorism elsewhere in the world.
It is my understanding that democracy means first and foremost the rule of the people by way of an electoral mandate, freely given. In the words of the Harvard political scientist Samuel P. Huntington, in his book The Third Wave “Elections, open, free and fair are the essence of democracy.
For the, last nine months, we have been engaged before the Court of Appeal in a legal battle to challenge the travesty of the 2003 elections. For seven of these months we have been making our case through the testimony of 139 witnesses from states all over the Federation. We concluded our case last week with a presentation in evidence of a copy of a radio signal sent by the Police Headquarters to all State Commands directing them to favor the ruling party during the elections.
The government will open its defense on another “4-19”, this one in 2004. Because the respondents failed to plead any case, their defense cannot last more than a couple of weeks. We may thus expect the Court of Appeal judgment in a month or so.
No doubt whichever side loses will appeal to the Supreme Court, where we presume the final judgment will be given six weeks from the date the court commences hearing the case.
Should the Supreme Court judgment be in our favour, the least we expect is the re-run of the Presidential election. We can discuss what will follow in the question and answer session.
Your State Department Human Rights report is full of references to serious electoral malpractices, violence, violations of all manner of human rights, corruption, abuse of power and wholesale abuse of public trust by the government in power in relation to the 2003 elections. In the words of the authors of the State Department report and the international observers from the EU, US, the Commonwealth and others, the elections “were seriously flawed”, and cannot be regarded as reflecting the wishes of the Nigerian majority. The Nigerian armed forces, the police, and the paramilitaries, were pressed into partisan service in support of the governing party.
The State Department report continues: “The government’s human rights record remained poor, and the government continued to commit serious abuses... Elections held during the year [2003] were not generally adjudged free and fair, and therefore abridged citizens’ rights to change their government. Security forces committed extra judicial killings and used excessive force to apprehend criminal suspects and to quell some protests. The government at times limited freedom of speech and press. Continued placing limits on freedom of assembly and association, citing security concerns. Inter-communal violence remained a problem.
According to the country’s top police officer, Inspector General of Police Mr. Tafa Balogun, from March 2002 until November the same year, the Nigerian police under his stewardship killed more than 1,200 “criminals,” and arrested more than 2,800. What these grim statistics show is that for every three persons “arrested” by the largely untrained Nigerian police, one was killed!
Up close and personal, my own running mate in the April 19, 2003 tainted presidential election, an American trained political scientist, a presidential advisor to two presidents and one time president of the Nigerian Senate, Dr. Chuba Okadigbo, was recklessly gassed to death with some chemical substance, while attending a lawful political rally in the northern city of Kano. Other leaders of our party were assassinated. To date nobody has been charged.
On July 10, 2003 armed anti-riot police abducted the governor of Anambra State, Mr. Chris Ngige, forced his resignation and held him for five hours. Only three days ago, the governor of Lagos State who is a member of another opposition party, was briefly detained. The same fate was visited on the former governor of another state, in Nigeria’s south west.
Two days to our departure out of Nigeria, the army engaged prison warders in a bizarre but bloody shoot out while trying to abduct one Major Hamza Al Mustapha, who had been in detention without trial for six years for murder. This army major is alleged to be planning to topple the government from his prison cell!
I am a soldier by training and thus a firm believer in discipline in all aspects of life. I am also a convinced democrat and see no contradiction in the two identities. Whatever I or my generation of military officers believed in the past, as regards the problems of multi-party democracy and or its converse, some kind of authoritarianism, in the form of a one party or non party state, was brought crashing down before our very eyes, and the eyes of the rest of the world, with the collapse of the Soviet Union and its East European empire. The implosion of the Soviet Union and its empire shows graphically, how counterproductive, deadly and economically irrelevant the precepts and dogmas of Marxism are. Ideologically driven regimes are by nature insecure and unstable. This is true whether the dogma is economic or religious. The apparent economic development they facilitate comes at a price too high for the people, and almost always, their prosperity is transient and unsustainable.
My program, on coming to power in a credible election therefore, presupposes the existence of a democratic space as indispensable for its realization. National consensus carefully negotiated with all stakeholders and constituencies will be the indispensable underpinning of such a project. The project we envisage on attainment of power will be based on the following fundamental principles, in continuous consultation with other tiers and branches of our government, other democratic institutions and stakeholders. They will include vigorous commitment to:
1. The existence of a united, democratic, strong, prosperous, peaceful, socially just and egalitarian Nigeria that is at peace with itself internally, respected and admired in Africa and the world
2. Recognize as basic principles of governance, the historically overwhelming imperatives of democracy, firm but fair rule of law, and the acceptance of human rights and civil liberties. We commit ourselves to genuinely and openly accountable and visibly transparent government, not as a matter of sloganeering and sound bites, but because we believe our people, who have endured corruption and bad governance for so long, have a right to it. Democracy without respect for the rule of law in my view will be a contradiction in terms, and a costly indulgence.
Our government, if elected, will rededicate itself anew, with sincerity and vigor, to the uncompromising pursuit of human development ii its entirety, limited only by resource limitations on government, the recurrent constraints of renegotiated debt servicing obligations, and other inherited commitments.
My colleagues and I have no illusions about the state of affairs in Nigeria presently. These are today other people’s responsibility, but hopefully with a positive outcome of the petition before the law courts, fresh, credible elections and new, legitimate, responsible government, these problems will become automatically and immediately our concern.
Some of the problems are of recent vintage. Others like corruption, economic mismanagement institutional immorality in public life, manipulation of religion and primordial sentiments, human rights abuses as highlighted by the recent U.S. State Department report; have been with us over the years, but NEVER on a scale we are now witnessing. We are all aware that democracy as we know it is, impossible in an atmosphere of intense ethnic and other primordial preferences.
Nigeria has many problems far and beyond what I have elaborated above. I have no doubt, however, that with a legitimate government and committed leadership of integrity, these problems can be solved. Indeed, they must be solved.
The international community under United States’ indispensable leadership, must be engaged in seeing that both sides honor the legal outcome. In the uncertain weeks and months ahead, Nigeria will need imaginative understanding and practical assistance. Initially this will entail technical assistance, but subsequently a significant infusion of trained international observers for the duration, to ensure that the Nigerian public will accept and embrace the election results.
General Muhammadu Buhari delivered this speech at the Woodrow Wilson International Centre for Scholar, Ronald Reagan Building.
2004

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